Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.000607 0.000699 0.000796 0.000906 0.001028 0.001159 0.001308
2025-05-11 0.000453 0.000576 0.000716 0.000887 0.001087 0.001314 0.001589
2025-05-18 0.000386 0.000524 0.000689 0.000899 0.001156 0.001457 0.001833
2025-05-25 0.000330 0.000476 0.000660 0.000902 0.001208 0.001576 0.002049
2025-06-01 0.000275 0.000421 0.000612 0.000873 0.001214 0.001636 0.002190
2025-06-08 0.000230 0.000374 0.000570 0.000847 0.001218 0.001689 0.002320
2025-06-15 0.000202 0.000346 0.000549 0.000844 0.001250 0.001776 0.002494
2025-06-22 0.000178 0.000321 0.000530 0.000842 0.001281 0.001861 0.002665
2025-06-29 0.000156 0.000295 0.000507 0.000831 0.001298 0.001926 0.002810
2025-07-06 0.000135 0.000270 0.000481 0.000815 0.001305 0.001977 0.002936
2025-07-13 0.000125 0.000261 0.000480 0.000833 0.001362 0.002096 0.003156
2025-07-20 0.000114 0.000250 0.000475 0.000846 0.001410 0.002202 0.003361
2025-07-27 0.000101 0.000232 0.000456 0.000836 0.001425 0.002265 0.003508
2025-08-03 0.000087 0.000212 0.000434 0.000819 0.001428 0.002310 0.003633
2025-08-10 0.000080 0.000204 0.000430 0.000831 0.001474 0.002418 0.003847
2025-08-17 0.000072 0.000193 0.000421 0.000833 0.001506 0.002504 0.004031
2025-08-24 0.000061 0.000174 0.000396 0.000806 0.001490 0.002520 0.004114
2025-08-31 0.000052 0.000158 0.000372 0.000781 0.001475 0.002536 0.004196
2025-09-07 0.000046 0.000149 0.000362 0.000779 0.001497 0.002607 0.004359
2025-09-14 0.000041 0.000140 0.000353 0.000777 0.001519 0.002678 0.004525
2025-09-21 0.000036 0.000130 0.000340 0.000767 0.001526 0.002726 0.004656
2025-09-28 0.000031 0.000120 0.000325 0.000751 0.001523 0.002759 0.004764
2025-10-05 0.000029 0.000117 0.000327 0.000769 0.001577 0.002882 0.005011